According to Northwest Multiple Listing Service - brokers completed 10,175 sales transactions during September 2020 – the highest monthly volume since June 2018. September’s closings also marked a jump of nearly 28% from the same month a year ago, according to the latest statistical summary from the MLS. This significant increase speaks to sellers becoming much more confident and buyers competing more effectively, most likely due to low interest rates. It’s as if we just completed our typical ‘spring’ market. The new report from Northwest MLS showed a sharp year-over-year (YOY) drop in inventory (down 43% from a year ago), a robust increase (23%) in pending sales (mutually accepted offers), and a sizeable surge (19%) in prices for single family homes and condos combined.
Whether last week’s announcement from Boeing to consolidate to a single 787 production location in South Carolina resulting in the loss of about 900 Puget Sound jobs will dampen home sales is unclear. An increase in the number of homes for sale as workers either leave the area or decide to sell to access the equity they have in their homes. If this does happen, the increased supply will likely be absorbed by buyers who currently have a limited number of homes to choose from and counter any downward pressure on prices. Any impacts will be counteracted given recent expansion announcements by Facebook, Amazon, and Microsoft to either purchase, build or renovate major office buildings in the region. Impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on the housing market are prevalent. COVID-19 has made many reflect on what their home means to them. As a result, many people are looking to create that ideal place to call home. Rotation of home ownership is seen, whether that means refinancing, remodelling, or moving. With the trend toward employers allowing (and in some cases, requiring) employees to work remotely, we have seen a very noteworthy increase of sales in the more affordable suburban cities.
Examples of COVID-related housing movement stories are constantly heard from agents, such as a willingness to live further out, plans to move to the Pacific Northwest due to the ability to work remotely, a desire for a yard, home office, vacation property, etc. People working from home, especially those with kids being schooled at home, seek both space and value. Those who already have a home have little incentive to leave. The current scenario is “too much demand and limited supply” coupled with low interest rates as “the perfect price storm.”
Supply continues to be inadequate to meet demand. Brokers added 11,210 new listings to inventory during September, a healthy increase from a year ago when they added 9,435 for a YOY gain of 18.1%. Compared to August, the volume declined by 733 listings (down about 6%). At the end of September, the supply totaled 9,099 active listings, well-below the year-ago selection of 15,982 listings (down 43%), and the lowest level since February. Measured by months of supply, there is less than one month of supply (0.89) system wide. In the Puget Sound region, only King County notched more than a month’s supply, but if condos are excluded there is only 0.85 months of supply. Mason, Thurston and Snohomish counties had the tightest inventory, with only about two weeks of supply.
The “very active market” is attributed to record low interest rates, jobs, and lifestyle choices. Desire for homes with large yards or with acreage is seen. Prepared purchasers are bringing strong offers to sellers, at or over asking prices with few, if any, contingencies. In most areas, homes are virtually sold out in the more affordable, mid-price and upper end segments of the market. We’re also seeing a record-setting number of luxury properties going under contract across King, Pierce, and Kitsap counties.
Statistics compiled by Northwest MLS for these three counties show there were 883 closed sales of single family homes and condos last month in the “luxury” segment based on selling prices of $1 million and above. A year ago, there were 429 sales in this category. With the region’s supply plummeting by over 43% compared to a year ago and month’s supply below one, double-digit house price growth come as no surprise.
The median price for homes and condos that sold last month across the Northwest MLS market area was $499,950, a hefty 19% jump from the year-ago figure of $420,000. San Juan County had the highest median price at $850,000, followed by King County at $698,230. For single family homes only (excluding condos), last month’s median price system wide was $519,864. In King County, the median price for single family homes was $753,600. Within King County, where NWMLS tracks 30 sub-areas, six of these areas had median prices over $1 million; five of those areas were on the Eastside
Significant movement in the million-dollar-plus segment has been noticed and many rentals are now going on the market as investors look to move into new investments or change platforms. Considering depleted inventory (down nearly 44% from a year ago) and vigorous demand, buyers need to “step up with their best foot forward to compete in the multi-offer environment or deal with the frustration of being outbid. Those without a pre-approval letter are not even going to get on the playing field. A resurgence of offer escalation clauses, adding, The Kitsap market is exceptionally hot on anything below $375,000. Kitsap County, like all regions, is going into year-end with an extreme deficit of listing inventory. With 507 new listings come to market and 564 go to pending status, our deficit is deepening. Brokers are working with buyers who have made offers on 10 or 12 homes only to lose out to cash buyers or buyers who were willing to pay significantly more than the list price and waive all conditions, including an inspection. Brokers are bracing for an influx of buyers from King County where some residents have concerns about living in the Seattle area. More buyers in the hunt for homes in Kitsap will only intensify competition and inflate prices.
Seattle continues to be a desirable destination. Despite the numerous negative news stories about Seattle and anecdotes of an exodus out of the city, it is still a city where more people are moving into versus out of. MLS figures indicate YOY closed sales of homes and condos in Seattle jumped from 750 sales in September 2019 to last month’s total of 1,189 (up 59%). Notably, the Seattle map areas tracked by Northwest MLS showed a modest 8.4% gain in active listings compared to a year ago, fueled by the addition of 527 listings of condos. That’s up from the year-ago total of 308. The median price for last month’s closed sales in Seattle (including single family homes and condos) rose 11%, from $684,500 to $760,000.
SELLERS, click the video: 2020 is Rapidly Approaching 2019 Sales like a Cinderella Story!
For more Real Estate News and Advice, please tune in to our FB live every Saturday at 10AM
Follow us on Facebook: George Moorhead Bentley Properties
If you have any questions or comments you would like answered in next month's newsletter, email me at [email protected] and they will be included in the market update. OR if you would like more information on our unique systems and programs, call us at 206-391-7766 Or visit our website www.GeorgeMoorhead.com
©2020. All rights reserved